The Mius Trap
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (11 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 47
Defender wins (Russian): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1236 | 1170 | 59% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
| 1236 | 1159 | 61% | 2021-06-18 | Lost |
| 902 | 1083 | 26% | 2020-06-26 | Lost |
| 1251 | 986 | 82% | 2016-03-25 | Won |
| 1216 | 993 | 78% | 2014-03-27 | Won |
| 1268 | 1156 | 66% | 2006-08-17 | Lost |
| 966 | 1101 | 31% | 2006-04-02 | Won |
| 1001 | 1031 | 46% | 2006-03-10 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2006-02-07 | Won |
| 1159 | 866 | 84% | 2003-07-24 | Won |
| 1159 | 1067 | 63% | 2002-08-08 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1135.9 vs 1064.3 has a 60.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).