The Mius Trap
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (11 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 47
Defender wins (Russian): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1039 | 1025 | 52% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1164 | 33% | 2021-06-18 | Lost |
| 981 | 968 | 52% | 2020-06-26 | Lost |
| 1221 | 1000 | 78% | 2016-03-25 | Won |
| 989 | 971 | 53% | 2014-03-27 | Won |
| 980 | 951 | 54% | 2006-08-17 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1069 | 52% | 2006-04-02 | Won |
| 1001 | 845 | 71% | 2006-03-10 | Won |
| 1069 | 1095 | 46% | 2006-02-07 | Won |
| 1109 | 866 | 80% | 2003-07-24 | Won |
| 1109 | 1067 | 56% | 2002-08-08 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1056.5 vs 1001.9 has a 57.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).