The Mius Trap
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (9 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 47
Defender wins (Russian): 37
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1160 | 1149 | 52% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
916 | 1109 | 25% | 2020-06-26 | Lost |
1307 | 986 | 86% | 2016-03-25 | Won |
925 | 979 | 42% | 2014-03-27 | Won |
982 | 1097 | 34% | 2006-04-02 | Won |
1000 | 1010 | 49% | 2006-03-10 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2006-02-07 | Won |
1142 | 856 | 84% | 2003-07-24 | Won |
1142 | 1067 | 61% | 2002-08-08 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1074.6 vs 1038.9 has a 55.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).