The Last Tiger
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (Russian): 16
Defender wins (German): 8
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1014 | 1003 | 52% | 2024-02-09 | Lost |
1068 | 971 | 64% | 2024-01-12 | Lost |
1225 | 1169 | 58% | 2023-08-29 | Won |
940 | 1064 | 33% | 2023-07-09 | Lost |
1000 | 1006 | 49% | 2018-08-03 | Won |
1307 | 1185 | 67% | 2018-02-18 | Won |
1109 | 960 | 70% | 2017-11-22 | Won |
960 | 1019 | 42% | 2017-11-18 | Won |
932 | 1051 | 34% | 2017-03-14 | Won |
1073 | 1068 | 51% | 2015-04-13 | Won |
1079 | 906 | 73% | 2015-02-25 | Lost |
1090 | 1100 | 49% | 2015-01-20 | Won |
1090 | 1120 | 46% | 2014-11-28 | Lost |
985 | 998 | 48% | 2014-10-28 | Won |
1063 | 1095 | 45% | 2014-08-16 | Lost |
987 | 990 | 50% | 2013-01-26 | Lost |
984 | 1090 | 35% | 2012-02-07 | Won |
1000 | 1019 | 47% | 2010-10-29 | Lost |
1078 | 1009 | 60% | 2009-07-27 | Won |
1063 | 1030 | 55% | 2008-10-24 | Won |
977 | 1105 | 32% | 2008-04-25 | Won |
1004 | 1097 | 37% | 2003-04-25 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2002-02-07 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2002-02-06 | Won |
1075 | 1067 | 51% | 2001-11-03 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1051.9 vs 1052.6 has a 49.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).