The Last Tiger
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30
Attacker wins (Russian): 17
Defender wins (German): 12
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 954 | 62% | 2024-02-09 | Lost |
| 995 | 963 | 55% | 2024-01-12 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2023-08-29 | Won |
| 944 | 1015 | 40% | 2023-07-09 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1006 | 49% | 2018-08-03 | Won |
| 1232 | 1091 | 69% | 2018-02-18 | Won |
| 1064 | 992 | 60% | 2017-11-22 | Won |
| 992 | 996 | 49% | 2017-11-18 | Won |
| 934 | 1147 | 23% | 2017-03-14 | Won |
| 1127 | 1071 | 58% | 2015-04-13 | Won |
| 1038 | 907 | 68% | 2015-02-25 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1116 | 49% | 2015-01-20 | Won |
| 1110 | 1192 | 38% | 2014-11-28 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1051 | 62% | 2014-10-28 | Won |
| 1073 | 979 | 63% | 2014-08-16 | Lost |
| 985 | 1148 | 28% | 2013-01-26 | Lost |
| 984 | 1110 | 33% | 2012-02-07 | Won |
| 985 | 1019 | 45% | 2010-10-29 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1121 | 53% | 2009-09-25 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1061 | 65% | 2009-07-27 | Won |
| 1073 | 1108 | 45% | 2008-10-24 | Won |
| 968 | 1098 | 32% | 2008-04-25 | Won |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2007-05-19 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2007-05-19 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1012 | 52% | 2004-03-20 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1101 | 40% | 2003-04-25 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2002-02-07 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2002-02-06 | Won |
| 1159 | 1066 | 63% | 2001-11-03 | Won |
| 1140 | 1205 | 41% | 2001-10-20 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1070.3 vs 1060 has a 51.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).