The Last Tiger
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30
Attacker wins (Russian): 17
Defender wins (German): 12
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 955 | 1031 | 39% | 2024-02-09 | Lost |
| 1001 | 963 | 55% | 2024-01-12 | Lost |
| 1226 | 998 | 79% | 2023-08-29 | Won |
| 955 | 996 | 44% | 2023-07-09 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1006 | 49% | 2018-08-03 | Won |
| 1251 | 1091 | 72% | 2018-02-18 | Won |
| 1083 | 995 | 62% | 2017-11-22 | Won |
| 995 | 1005 | 49% | 2017-11-18 | Won |
| 901 | 1178 | 17% | 2017-03-14 | Won |
| 1127 | 1071 | 58% | 2015-04-13 | Won |
| 1038 | 908 | 68% | 2015-02-25 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1116 | 51% | 2015-01-20 | Won |
| 1121 | 1202 | 39% | 2014-11-28 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1039 | 63% | 2014-10-28 | Won |
| 1085 | 979 | 65% | 2014-08-16 | Lost |
| 985 | 1149 | 28% | 2013-01-26 | Lost |
| 984 | 1121 | 31% | 2012-02-07 | Won |
| 985 | 1019 | 45% | 2010-10-29 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1121 | 53% | 2009-09-25 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1056 | 72% | 2009-07-27 | Won |
| 1085 | 1108 | 47% | 2008-10-24 | Won |
| 969 | 1098 | 32% | 2008-04-25 | Won |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2007-05-19 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2007-05-19 | Lost |
| 998 | 1012 | 48% | 2004-03-20 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1101 | 40% | 2003-04-25 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2002-02-07 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2002-02-06 | Won |
| 1159 | 1067 | 63% | 2001-11-03 | Won |
| 1141 | 1205 | 41% | 2001-10-20 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1070.6 vs 1063.5 has a 51.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).