The Last Tiger
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28
Attacker wins (Russian): 16
Defender wins (German): 11
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1044 | 965 | 61% | 2024-02-09 | Lost |
| 1050 | 971 | 61% | 2024-01-12 | Lost |
| 1223 | 920 | 85% | 2023-08-29 | Won |
| 945 | 1072 | 32% | 2023-07-09 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1006 | 49% | 2018-08-03 | Won |
| 1310 | 1100 | 77% | 2018-02-18 | Won |
| 1114 | 953 | 72% | 2017-11-22 | Won |
| 953 | 958 | 49% | 2017-11-18 | Won |
| 946 | 1071 | 33% | 2017-03-14 | Won |
| 1108 | 1067 | 56% | 2015-04-13 | Won |
| 1079 | 909 | 73% | 2015-02-25 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1100 | 56% | 2015-01-20 | Won |
| 1139 | 1168 | 46% | 2014-11-28 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1018 | 51% | 2014-10-28 | Won |
| 1056 | 971 | 62% | 2014-08-16 | Lost |
| 987 | 1146 | 29% | 2013-01-26 | Lost |
| 984 | 1139 | 29% | 2012-02-07 | Won |
| 983 | 1018 | 45% | 2010-10-29 | Lost |
| 1148 | 994 | 71% | 2009-07-27 | Won |
| 1056 | 1025 | 54% | 2008-10-24 | Won |
| 977 | 1100 | 33% | 2008-04-25 | Won |
| 1100 | 1016 | 62% | 2007-05-19 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1043 | 58% | 2007-05-19 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1012 | 62% | 2004-03-20 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1098 | 38% | 2003-04-25 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2002-02-07 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2002-02-06 | Won |
| 1138 | 1069 | 60% | 2001-11-03 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1068.2 vs 1039.4 has a 54.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).