An Arm and a Leg
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 147 (25 on the archive and 122 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 71
Defender wins (German): 76
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2023-07-20 | Lost |
867 | 954 | 38% | 2022-07-29 | Lost |
1003 | 1014 | 48% | 2022-07-21 | Won |
954 | 867 | 62% | 2022-07-16 | Won |
867 | 954 | 38% | 2022-07-11 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2022-05-24 | Lost |
993 | 1040 | 43% | 2021-12-31 | Lost |
1080 | 919 | 72% | 2020-06-17 | Lost |
916 | 1006 | 37% | 2020-05-26 | Won |
1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2020-05-26 | Won |
1123 | 1069 | 58% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
1175 | 1113 | 59% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
960 | 1055 | 37% | 2016-02-28 | Lost |
938 | 1211 | 17% | 2015-03-29 | Lost |
938 | 1211 | 17% | 2015-03-23 | Lost |
1010 | 994 | 52% | 2014-08-23 | Won |
1000 | 897 | 64% | 2014-01-11 | Lost |
1029 | 1022 | 51% | 2011-05-13 | Won |
880 | 1141 | 18% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
972 | 1063 | 37% | 2009-03-14 | Lost |
1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2007-09-08 | Lost |
988 | 1063 | 39% | 2007-03-26 | Lost |
1074 | 1004 | 60% | 2005-03-30 | Won |
1075 | 1120 | 44% | 2004-10-24 | Lost |
972 | 1069 | 36% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1002 vs 1038.1 has a 44.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).