The Hornet of Cloville
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (American): 7
Defender wins (German): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1013 | 964 | 57% | 2022-03-26 | Won |
1307 | 1047 | 82% | 2018-12-30 | Won |
951 | 1047 | 37% | 2015-05-10 | Lost |
952 | 1125 | 27% | 2014-03-05 | Lost |
946 | 945 | 50% | 2010-01-28 | Won |
1008 | 1029 | 47% | 2010-01-24 | Won |
1030 | 965 | 59% | 2007-01-16 | Lost |
1025 | 952 | 60% | 2006-09-13 | Won |
918 | 1000 | 38% | 2004-12-27 | Lost |
1074 | 1086 | 48% | 2004-12-21 | Lost |
1135 | 1110 | 54% | 2004-10-24 | Lost |
1044 | 1102 | 42% | 2004-01-03 | Lost |
1064 | 1068 | 49% | 2000-08-01 | Won |
1073 | 1097 | 47% | 1997-04-01 | Won |
1102 | 1006 | 63% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1042.8 vs 1036.2 has a 50.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).