The Hornet of Cloville
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (American): 7
Defender wins (German): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1044 | 965 | 61% | 2022-03-26 | Won |
| 1310 | 1068 | 80% | 2018-12-30 | Won |
| 955 | 1031 | 39% | 2015-05-10 | Lost |
| 952 | 1125 | 27% | 2014-03-05 | Lost |
| 946 | 919 | 54% | 2010-01-28 | Won |
| 1011 | 1029 | 47% | 2010-01-24 | Won |
| 1030 | 965 | 59% | 2007-01-16 | Lost |
| 1025 | 952 | 60% | 2006-09-13 | Won |
| 918 | 1019 | 36% | 2004-12-27 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1086 | 52% | 2004-12-21 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1110 | 55% | 2004-10-24 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1100 | 42% | 2004-01-03 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1100 | 45% | 2000-08-01 | Won |
| 1046 | 941 | 65% | 2000-06-24 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1138 | 47% | 1997-04-01 | Won |
| 1138 | 982 | 71% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1053.1 vs 1033.1 has a 52.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).