Raiders at Regi
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 104 (17 on the archive and 87 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 61
Defender wins (Japanese): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 932 | 1075 | 31% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
| 845 | 967 | 33% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1032 | 66% | 2019-03-16 | Lost |
| 941 | 1040 | 36% | 2015-03-15 | Lost |
| 987 | 1059 | 40% | 2013-07-30 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1028 | 48% | 2009-10-10 | Lost |
| 913 | 975 | 41% | 2004-12-27 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1140 | 33% | 2004-10-10 | Lost |
| 925 | 1060 | 31% | 2004-09-24 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1087 | 46% | 2004-09-24 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1167 | 35% | 2004-07-24 | Won |
| 1061 | 1049 | 52% | 2004-07-05 | Won |
| 1170 | 1160 | 51% | 1999-09-15 | Won |
| 1160 | 1170 | 49% | 1999-09-15 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1110 | 38% | 1999-06-21 | Lost |
| 1019 | 892 | 68% | 1997-01-01 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1017 | 53% | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1018.2 vs 1060.5 has a 43.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).