Fortune Favours The Bold
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (11 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1027 | 1014 | 52% | 2023-10-22 | Won |
1091 | 963 | 68% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
1081 | 980 | 64% | 2020-06-04 | Won |
1090 | 954 | 69% | 2020-05-11 | Won |
987 | 934 | 58% | 2018-09-02 | Won |
934 | 1013 | 39% | 2018-08-18 | Lost |
987 | 1025 | 45% | 2018-04-07 | Won |
1323 | 1112 | 77% | 2014-12-23 | Lost |
1027 | 1014 | 52% | 2006-01-07 | Lost |
1096 | 1074 | 53% | 2005-04-21 | Won |
1074 | 1096 | 47% | 2005-03-29 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1065.2 vs 1016.3 has a 56.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).