A Bird in the Hand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (5 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1283 | 945 | 87% | 2018-06-02 | Won |
1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2016-12-07 | Lost |
1055 | 702 | 88% | 2014-05-17 | Won |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2007-01-07 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1110.8 vs 957.6 has a 70.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).