Opening Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (14 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 30
Defender wins (Polish): 24
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1106 | 1118 | 48% | 2024-02-17 | Lost |
1141 | 1055 | 62% | 2021-12-12 | Lost |
857 | 1152 | 15% | 2021-06-15 | Lost |
1138 | 969 | 73% | 2021-02-15 | Won |
916 | 1018 | 36% | 2018-06-23 | Lost |
962 | 1110 | 30% | 2018-05-29 | Won |
1033 | 969 | 59% | 2017-10-09 | Won |
1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2017-03-01 | Won |
1285 | 1307 | 47% | 2016-07-21 | Tied |
1093 | 1076 | 52% | 2012-11-10 | Won |
1047 | 697 | 88% | 2011-11-26 | Won |
1134 | 1087 | 57% | 2009-03-11 | Lost |
938 | 1099 | 28% | 2006-10-06 | Lost |
1135 | 1055 | 61% | 2005-01-06 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1065.9 vs 1050.9 has a 52.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).