Operation NIWI
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Belgian): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1022 | 1014 | 51% | 2024-03-24 | Won |
1012 | 934 | 61% | 2022-10-13 | Won |
948 | 1037 | 37% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
1037 | 1028 | 51% | 2021-05-18 | Lost |
980 | 1073 | 37% | 2020-07-27 | Won |
919 | 892 | 54% | 2020-04-18 | Won |
1431 | 1190 | 80% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
965 | 1000 | 45% | 2018-11-25 | Lost |
1057 | 915 | 69% | 2018-06-24 | Won |
1081 | 1098 | 48% | 2018-01-07 | Won |
1059 | 953 | 65% | 2014-10-13 | Won |
1138 | 1081 | 58% | 2014-08-13 | Lost |
1000 | 933 | 60% | 2012-11-16 | Lost |
702 | 1078 | 10% | 2012-01-07 | Lost |
1093 | 1091 | 50% | 2010-08-12 | Lost |
1097 | 1330 | 21% | 2003-07-26 | Lost |
1097 | 1330 | 21% | 2003-07-26 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1037.5 vs 1057.5 has a 47.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).