First Clash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 4
Attacker wins (Canadian): 2
Defender wins (Italian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
970 | 1000 | 46% | 2018-11-02 | Won |
960 | 1214 | 19% | 2012-06-24 | Tied |
1000 | 1014 | 48% | 2012-01-20 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2008-02-08 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1006.8 vs 1081.3 has a 39.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).