Infantry Probe at Argentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (17 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 44
Defender wins (Free French): 43
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
925 | 984 | 42% | 2023-01-11 | Won |
951 | 1197 | 20% | 2022-03-19 | Lost |
1168 | 1056 | 66% | 2020-11-19 | Lost |
984 | 1144 | 28% | 2020-10-26 | Won |
1049 | 1144 | 37% | 2020-10-26 | Won |
1108 | 1084 | 53% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
1284 | 1016 | 82% | 2019-06-14 | Won |
1094 | 1087 | 51% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
970 | 1110 | 31% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
970 | 1110 | 31% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
977 | 949 | 54% | 2016-04-01 | Won |
1087 | 1000 | 62% | 2016-04-01 | Lost |
1138 | 1108 | 54% | 2012-10-04 | Won |
1029 | 1055 | 46% | 2010-02-01 | Won |
1067 | 1087 | 47% | 2009-09-19 | Lost |
1165 | 1142 | 53% | 2007-05-10 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1060.4 vs 1079.6 has a 47.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).