Last Push to Mozhaisk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (6 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (Russian): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 934 | 1151 | 22% | 2012-02-29 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1025 | 49% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
| 865 | 1019 | 29% | 2011-03-10 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1253 | 21% | 2011-02-03 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1146 | 39% | 2010-01-01 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1165 | 28% | 2004-01-08 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 984.2 vs 1126.5 has a 30.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).