The Yelnya Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 6
Defender wins (Russian): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
929 | 1129 | 24% | 2024-01-04 | Lost |
954 | 979 | 46% | 2023-08-04 | Won |
1069 | 993 | 61% | 2015-06-19 | Won |
943 | 896 | 57% | 2012-02-02 | Won |
1030 | 1120 | 37% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
1045 | 1075 | 46% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
1048 | 1398 | 12% | 2006-10-04 | Won |
927 | 1046 | 34% | 2005-11-11 | Lost |
959 | 1078 | 34% | 2005-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 989.3 vs 1079.3 has a 37.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).