Thunderbolts
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (3 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (German): 26
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1054 | 994 | 59% | 2015-08-09 | Lost |
994 | 895 | 64% | 1998-12-05 | Lost |
1075 | 1227 | 29% | 1997-07-05 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1041 vs 1038.7 has a 50.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).