Denouement
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (5 on the archive and 79 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 47
Defender wins (British): 37
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1086 | 1307 | 22% | 2018-08-01 | Lost |
1144 | 950 | 75% | 2015-03-07 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 1998-07-13 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 1998-06-29 | Won |
1142 | 856 | 84% | 1996-02-17 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1113.2 vs 1061.4 has a 57.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).