Denouement
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (British): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1073 | 1076 | 50% | 2022-11-09 | Won |
| 944 | 1140 | 24% | 2021-07-11 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1186 | 61% | 2019-12-03 | Won |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2018-08-01 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1070 | 60% | 2015-03-07 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 1998-07-13 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 1998-06-29 | Won |
| 1263 | 1150 | 66% | 1998-03-07 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1140 | 57% | 1996-06-15 | Won |
| 1109 | 866 | 80% | 1996-02-17 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1135.2 vs 1104.3 has a 54.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).