Hill 490
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 4
Attacker wins (American): 3
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1158 | 1047 | 65% | 2021-01-06 | Won |
| 1043 | 1159 | 34% | 2002-12-01 | Lost |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 1997-02-04 | Won |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 993 vs 1095.8 has a 35.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).