Blackjack is Back!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 120 (17 on the archive and 103 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 58
Defender wins (German (SS)): 60
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (American): 2
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
974 | 954 | 53% | 2024-01-27 | Won |
1075 | 1149 | 40% | 2024-01-27 | Won |
940 | 1141 | 24% | 2022-11-12 | Lost |
1060 | 1058 | 50% | 2019-03-19 | Lost |
1142 | 1069 | 60% | 2017-05-21 | Lost |
963 | 943 | 53% | 2013-10-07 | Won |
1056 | 1060 | 49% | 2013-04-16 | Won |
972 | 1110 | 31% | 2011-10-23 | Lost |
1040 | 1063 | 47% | 2009-12-17 | Won |
1040 | 1063 | 47% | 2009-12-07 | Lost |
994 | 1055 | 41% | 2008-10-08 | Won |
1025 | 1023 | 50% | 2006-07-30 | Won |
1030 | 959 | 60% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
997 | 1078 | 39% | 2005-10-08 | Won |
1019 | 1076 | 42% | 2000-04-07 | Lost |
1098 | 1097 | 50% | 1999-09-25 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 1999-09-13 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1030.7 vs 1058.5 has a 46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).