Motoring to Mogilev
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (7 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 26
Defender wins (German): 28
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 943 | 1302 | 11% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 1205 | 1046 | 71% | 2023-01-01 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1024 | 59% | 2021-07-09 | Lost |
| 967 | 1157 | 25% | 2019-01-24 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1109 | 57% | 2008-09-21 | Lost |
| 1259 | 1029 | 79% | 2008-01-16 | Won |
| 1082 | 1062 | 53% | 2004-09-16 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1100 vs 1104.1 has a 49.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).