Hornet's Nest
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 920 | 796 | 67% | 2023-05-16 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1100 | 42% | 2022-08-16 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1216 | 29% | 2020-05-01 | Lost |
| 968 | 1140 | 27% | 2019-01-14 | Lost |
| 994 | 1148 | 29% | 2010-09-21 | Won |
| 1031 | 1167 | 31% | 2010-06-03 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1002.7 vs 1094.5 has a 37.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).