Second Thoughts
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (17 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 35
Defender wins (American): 36
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
977 | 1035 | 42% | 2023-02-07 | Lost |
1058 | 994 | 59% | 2022-05-15 | Won |
1084 | 1041 | 56% | 2022-05-15 | Won |
994 | 1068 | 40% | 2018-03-07 | Won |
1033 | 1083 | 43% | 2015-06-20 | Lost |
1307 | 1039 | 82% | 2015-03-31 | Won |
1049 | 1112 | 41% | 2015-03-07 | Lost |
980 | 1097 | 34% | 2014-01-30 | Lost |
977 | 1094 | 34% | 2013-01-12 | Lost |
1128 | 1095 | 55% | 2012-01-26 | Won |
1125 | 1000 | 67% | 2011-05-14 | Won |
994 | 1083 | 37% | 2009-01-01 | Won |
1087 | 1000 | 62% | 2008-09-11 | Lost |
1097 | 1146 | 43% | 2006-04-01 | Won |
1142 | 1148 | 49% | 2006-01-28 | Won |
925 | 977 | 43% | 2005-10-20 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1059.8 vs 1063.3 has a 49.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).