To Have and To Hold
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (American): 9
Defender wins (German): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1023 | 1023 | 50% | 2023-01-25 | Lost |
1311 | 1026 | 84% | 2021-07-09 | Won |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
964 | 1035 | 40% | 2019-07-19 | Won |
1000 | 1069 | 40% | 2017-01-07 | Lost |
989 | 989 | 50% | 2015-11-07 | Won |
926 | 1056 | 32% | 2014-09-14 | Won |
1068 | 940 | 68% | 2014-08-30 | Won |
1069 | 1032 | 55% | 2013-12-21 | Won |
1022 | 1042 | 47% | 2012-07-08 | Won |
1078 | 1031 | 57% | 2006-06-20 | Won |
959 | 1078 | 34% | 2005-10-20 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1034.3 vs 1041.5 has a 48.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).