Motorcycle Probe
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (7 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Polish): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1137 | 1182 | 44% | 2024-02-12 | Won |
| 921 | 1016 | 37% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1087 | 38% | 2023-04-19 | Won |
| 1223 | 976 | 81% | 2018-06-23 | Won |
| 1077 | 939 | 69% | 2018-06-23 | Won |
| 917 | 1205 | 16% | 2018-06-22 | Tied |
| 1205 | 917 | 84% | 2018-06-21 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1068.6 vs 1046 has a 53.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).