Pebbles in the Stream
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (Russian): 2
Defender wins (German): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
773 | 890 | 34% | 2022-07-29 | Lost |
956 | 1146 | 25% | 2013-09-15 | Lost |
1047 | 1102 | 42% | 2009-08-26 | Won |
907 | 1025 | 34% | 2006-08-23 | Lost |
1323 | 976 | 88% | 2006-07-14 | Lost |
1046 | 1024 | 53% | 2005-12-10 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1008.7 vs 1027.2 has a 47.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).