Pebbles in the Stream
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (6 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
780 | 890 | 35% | 2022-07-29 | Lost |
956 | 1135 | 26% | 2013-09-15 | Lost |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2009-08-26 | Won |
905 | 1013 | 35% | 2006-08-23 | Lost |
1307 | 979 | 87% | 2006-07-14 | Lost |
1046 | 1024 | 53% | 2005-12-10 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1009.3 vs 1028 has a 47.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).