Morire in Belleza
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 157 (32 on the archive and 125 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 75
Defender wins (Yugoslavian): 82
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1141 | 1195 | 42% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
1019 | 1092 | 40% | 2023-06-24 | Won |
784 | 1169 | 10% | 2023-05-25 | Lost |
943 | 926 | 52% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
1014 | 1307 | 16% | 2021-02-19 | Lost |
1014 | 1307 | 16% | 2021-02-19 | Lost |
978 | 955 | 53% | 2020-03-23 | Lost |
1109 | 869 | 80% | 2016-11-19 | Won |
931 | 1010 | 39% | 2016-08-27 | Won |
1058 | 931 | 68% | 2015-12-08 | Won |
985 | 1071 | 38% | 2015-11-18 | Lost |
1307 | 1034 | 83% | 2015-05-09 | Won |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2015-03-05 | Won |
970 | 1138 | 28% | 2014-12-06 | Lost |
1138 | 1061 | 61% | 2014-11-15 | Won |
1090 | 1117 | 46% | 2014-04-10 | Lost |
988 | 979 | 51% | 2014-02-15 | Lost |
1063 | 1040 | 53% | 2009-12-21 | Lost |
1074 | 1063 | 52% | 2008-03-07 | Won |
1003 | 1006 | 50% | 2008-02-09 | Won |
1015 | 1048 | 45% | 2007-05-22 | Won |
1006 | 1030 | 47% | 2006-11-07 | Won |
1398 | 1092 | 85% | 2006-09-10 | Lost |
1307 | 917 | 90% | 2006-09-10 | Won |
1398 | 1307 | 63% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
1307 | 1022 | 84% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
1022 | 1307 | 16% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
1307 | 1398 | 37% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
1307 | 901 | 91% | 2006-02-07 | Won |
938 | 982 | 44% | 2005-09-17 | Won |
935 | 862 | 60% | 2005-04-24 | Won |
1012 | 1069 | 42% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1085.6 vs 1069 has a 52.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).