Moldavian Massacre
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 73 (11 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Romanian): 36
Defender wins (Russian): 37
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
926 | 1141 | 22% | 2016-11-07 | Lost |
1046 | 1062 | 48% | 2008-05-16 | Lost |
1046 | 1062 | 48% | 2008-05-16 | Lost |
1046 | 1062 | 48% | 2008-05-16 | Lost |
902 | 1014 | 34% | 2007-10-16 | Lost |
974 | 974 | 50% | 2007-04-03 | Won |
1307 | 1145 | 72% | 2007-03-09 | Won |
1078 | 1102 | 47% | 2006-06-03 | Lost |
984 | 1046 | 41% | 2005-10-13 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2005-04-12 | Won |
1343 | 1311 | 55% | 2004-07-24 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1068.1 vs 1092.4 has a 46.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).