First Contact, First Defeat
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (3 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Polish): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1099 | 1124 | 46% | 2024-02-06 | Won |
1283 | 950 | 87% | 2021-09-03 | Won |
950 | 1283 | 13% | 2021-07-21 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1110.7 vs 1119 has a 48.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).