Test of Nerves
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (British): 7
Defender wins (German (SS)): 7
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1138 | 1019 | 66% | 2024-03-10 | Won |
1003 | 996 | 51% | 2019-11-09 | Lost |
856 | 1144 | 16% | 2017-07-01 | Lost |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2014-11-29 | Won |
1056 | 1019 | 55% | 2014-11-09 | Lost |
1019 | 1056 | 45% | 2014-11-07 | Lost |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2014-10-03 | Won |
905 | 1091 | 26% | 2010-06-30 | Lost |
1003 | 1022 | 47% | 2008-12-11 | Lost |
1288 | 1030 | 82% | 2008-11-18 | Lost |
1121 | 1307 | 26% | 2006-03-27 | Won |
938 | 992 | 42% | 2004-03-01 | Won |
1019 | 905 | 66% | 2002-10-26 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 1998-06-14 | Won |
870 | 1069 | 24% | 1998-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1044.5 vs 1050.2 has a 49.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).