Armored Probe
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 107 (11 on the archive and 96 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 60
Defender wins (American): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1071 | 1161 | 37% | 2025-04-27 | Tied |
| 1126 | 966 | 72% | 2017-09-05 | Won |
| 1138 | 1012 | 67% | 2010-06-13 | Won |
| 980 | 1080 | 36% | 2010-06-13 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1006 | 54% | 2004-03-26 | Won |
| 1065 | 1215 | 30% | 2000-01-26 | Won |
| 1263 | 1290 | 46% | 1999-04-26 | Won |
| 1269 | 1109 | 72% | 1996-04-04 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1078 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1078 | 1078 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1078 | 1089 | 48% | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1107.5 vs 1098.5 has a 51.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).