The Milling Crowd
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1283 | 1154 | 68% | 2021-02-19 | Won |
882 | 862 | 53% | 2017-07-09 | Won |
1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2016-05-31 | Tied |
989 | 994 | 49% | 2015-08-01 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 1998-10-22 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1072.8 vs 1046.8 has a 53.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).