The Milling Crowd
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (American): 5
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1219 | 1160 | 58% | 2021-02-19 | Won |
1219 | 1208 | 52% | 2021-02-19 | Won |
881 | 862 | 53% | 2017-07-09 | Won |
1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2016-05-31 | Tied |
1038 | 1010 | 54% | 2015-08-01 | Won |
1096 | 1098 | 50% | 1998-10-22 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1094.3 vs 1077.5 has a 52.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).