A Long Way To Go
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70
Attacker wins (German): 36
Defender wins (American): 30
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2026-04-30 | Lost |
| 981 | 1068 | 38% | 2026-04-29 | Won |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2026-04-23 | Won |
| 1051 | 949 | 64% | 2026-04-22 | Won |
| 949 | 1051 | 36% | 2026-03-25 | Won |
| 959 | 972 | 48% | 2025-06-01 | Lost |
| 972 | 959 | 52% | 2025-05-10 | Won |
| 992 | 1015 | 47% | 2024-11-05 | Won |
| 970 | 1031 | 41% | 2024-08-22 | Lost |
| 986 | 986 | 50% | 2024-04-04 | Won |
| 1031 | 910 | 67% | 2024-03-07 | Won |
| 1033 | 1036 | 50% | 2023-11-04 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1289 | 18% | 2023-08-05 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1185 | 50% | 2023-04-26 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1056 | 50% | 2023-04-17 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1031 | 55% | 2023-02-20 | Won |
| 1029 | 970 | 58% | 2022-09-29 | Lost |
| 878 | 1031 | 29% | 2022-08-08 | Tied |
| 878 | 861 | 52% | 2022-08-08 | Tied |
| 1043 | 1047 | 49% | 2022-07-12 | Lost |
| 948 | 1031 | 38% | 2022-06-15 | Won |
| 861 | 878 | 48% | 2022-04-25 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1031 | 74% | 2022-04-10 | Won |
| 1002 | 937 | 59% | 2022-01-09 | Won |
| 986 | 990 | 49% | 2021-07-07 | Won |
| 1001 | 1030 | 46% | 2021-05-13 | Lost |
| 1002 | 937 | 59% | 2021-05-05 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1078 | 43% | 2021-02-15 | Won |
| 991 | 1036 | 44% | 2020-10-13 | Won |
| 964 | 937 | 54% | 2020-08-27 | Lost |
| 986 | 1236 | 19% | 2020-07-10 | Won |
| 843 | 966 | 33% | 2019-12-22 | Won |
| 1431 | 1190 | 80% | 2019-11-09 | Won |
| 1190 | 1431 | 20% | 2019-11-09 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1164 | 49% | 2019-08-23 | Won |
| 984 | 1172 | 25% | 2019-07-06 | Won |
| 879 | 1031 | 29% | 2019-01-17 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1139 | 42% | 2018-10-14 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1036 | 64% | 2018-03-09 | Won |
| 879 | 1031 | 29% | 2017-11-16 | Lost |
| 1043 | 911 | 68% | 2017-10-11 | Won |
| 1043 | 911 | 68% | 2017-10-07 | Won |
| 1101 | 1142 | 44% | 2017-06-25 | Won |
| 1119 | 1127 | 49% | 2017-05-21 | Lost |
| 961 | 964 | 50% | 2016-09-10 | Won |
| 879 | 1031 | 29% | 2016-07-29 | Tied |
| 885 | 964 | 39% | 2016-05-01 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2015-08-10 | Won |
| 1233 | 1166 | 60% | 2014-10-17 | Won |
| 1166 | 1233 | 40% | 2014-10-17 | Lost |
| 1043 | 971 | 60% | 2014-06-11 | Won |
| 981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-02-20 | Won |
| 1212 | 1220 | 49% | 2013-03-01 | Lost |
| 1047 | 954 | 63% | 2012-10-21 | Lost |
| 954 | 937 | 52% | 2012-10-21 | Lost |
| 955 | 984 | 46% | 2010-07-14 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1029 | 49% | 2009-12-14 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1233 | 36% | 2009-10-22 | Won |
| 1026 | 1103 | 39% | 2009-02-12 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1024 | 75% | 2009-01-18 | Won |
| 976 | 1031 | 42% | 2008-08-13 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1032 | 48% | 2008-06-11 | Won |
| 1152 | 962 | 75% | 2008-02-22 | Won |
| 1152 | 962 | 75% | 2008-02-22 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-03-04 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-03-04 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-03-04 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-03-04 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1108 | 40% | 2007-02-10 | Won |
| 943 | 832 | 65% | 2006-02-23 | Won |
Attacking (37 wins) average ELOs: 1033 vs 1041.2 has a 48.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).