Paper Army
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75
Attacker wins (Greek): 54
Defender wins (Italian): 17
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Greek): 1
Defender wins (Italian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|---|---|---|---|
996 | 996 | 50% | 2025-02-03 | Won |
992 | 1015 | 47% | 2024-11-05 | Won |
991 | 1078 | 38% | 2024-08-21 | Won |
1033 | 1078 | 44% | 2024-02-13 | Won |
1080 | 1080 | 50% | 2024-01-18 | Won |
1036 | 1034 | 50% | 2023-11-04 | Won |
1274 | 1218 | 58% | 2023-07-31 | Won |
1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-04-24 | Won |
1067 | 1078 | 48% | 2023-02-16 | Won |
1078 | 1067 | 52% | 2023-02-13 | Lost |
1078 | 1014 | 59% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
1078 | 1014 | 59% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
1018 | 867 | 70% | 2022-11-30 | Won |
1056 | 996 | 59% | 2022-07-01 | Won |
1078 | 945 | 68% | 2022-06-08 | Won |
1189 | 1078 | 65% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
1096 | 991 | 65% | 2022-03-04 | Lost |
1048 | 1085 | 45% | 2022-02-06 | Won |
1144 | 1115 | 54% | 2021-08-24 | Won |
1002 | 1215 | 23% | 2021-02-07 | Won |
1038 | 1030 | 51% | 2021-02-06 | Tied |
1085 | 1048 | 55% | 2021-01-24 | Won |
964 | 1141 | 27% | 2020-12-15 | Won |
1015 | 997 | 53% | 2020-08-25 | Won |
899 | 991 | 37% | 2020-07-05 | Lost |
1173 | 1034 | 69% | 2020-05-20 | Won |
1049 | 1052 | 50% | 2020-01-11 | Lost |
864 | 935 | 40% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
1113 | 1078 | 55% | 2019-12-13 | Won |
1431 | 1217 | 77% | 2019-11-02 | Won |
975 | 1036 | 41% | 2019-07-06 | Won |
1085 | 909 | 73% | 2018-06-09 | Won |
975 | 975 | 50% | 2017-10-14 | Won |
1101 | 1142 | 44% | 2017-05-25 | Tied |
1094 | 1094 | 50% | 2017-05-20 | Won |
926 | 892 | 55% | 2017-03-29 | Won |
1193 | 893 | 85% | 2017-01-21 | Won |
909 | 960 | 43% | 2016-09-10 | Won |
1078 | 878 | 76% | 2016-07-27 | Tied |
1111 | 1113 | 50% | 2015-08-16 | Won |
1223 | 1150 | 60% | 2015-08-14 | Won |
1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2015-07-21 | Won |
1164 | 1228 | 41% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
1078 | 1001 | 61% | 2014-04-04 | Won |
981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-02-14 | Won |
1211 | 1211 | 50% | 2013-01-06 | Lost |
970 | 1031 | 41% | 2012-10-20 | Lost |
1078 | 1040 | 55% | 2012-09-29 | Won |
959 | 956 | 50% | 2012-06-10 | Won |
1078 | 1013 | 59% | 2011-04-17 | Lost |
960 | 951 | 51% | 2011-04-17 | Lost |
951 | 951 | 50% | 2011-04-09 | Lost |
1039 | 1216 | 27% | 2010-07-05 | Won |
984 | 1002 | 47% | 2010-06-30 | Won |
1016 | 1031 | 48% | 2010-06-15 | Lost |
1114 | 1216 | 36% | 2010-01-24 | Won |
1228 | 1135 | 63% | 2009-10-22 | Lost |
1078 | 920 | 71% | 2009-07-25 | Won |
1078 | 920 | 71% | 2009-07-25 | Won |
1078 | 920 | 71% | 2009-07-25 | Won |
1078 | 920 | 71% | 2009-07-25 | Won |
1078 | 920 | 71% | 2009-05-13 | Won |
1078 | 920 | 71% | 2009-05-13 | Won |
946 | 951 | 49% | 2009-04-25 | Won |
984 | 969 | 52% | 2009-01-17 | Won |
942 | 920 | 53% | 2008-10-16 | Won |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-03-12 | Won |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-03-12 | Won |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-03-12 | Won |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-03-12 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-03-12 | Lost |
949 | 1001 | 43% | 2007-02-17 | Won |
1093 | 984 | 65% | 2006-07-16 | Won |
832 | 943 | 35% | 2006-01-24 | Won |
1085 | 1117 | 45% | 2005-11-27 | Won |
Attacking (55 wins) average ELOs: 1054.1 vs 1029.6 has a 53.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).