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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 260 (101 on the archive and 159 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 118
Defender wins (American): 138
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|---|---|---|---|
1078 | 1078 | 50% | 2024-09-28 | Lost |
975 | 1069 | 37% | 2024-09-03 | Won |
1055 | 1023 | 55% | 2024-07-31 | Lost |
1431 | 954 | 94% | 2024-05-08 | Won |
1028 | 1028 | 50% | 2024-03-14 | Won |
1055 | 974 | 61% | 2023-12-24 | Lost |
1108 | 1064 | 56% | 2023-12-17 | Lost |
1043 | 1036 | 51% | 2023-09-02 | Lost |
1013 | 964 | 57% | 2023-06-30 | Lost |
952 | 1055 | 36% | 2023-06-10 | Won |
1037 | 1025 | 52% | 2023-05-30 | Won |
1125 | 1125 | 50% | 2023-04-15 | Won |
1221 | 1242 | 47% | 2023-03-31 | Lost |
1125 | 1074 | 57% | 2023-03-23 | Won |
1078 | 1072 | 51% | 2023-02-15 | Won |
1099 | 1056 | 56% | 2022-12-09 | Lost |
1056 | 1087 | 46% | 2022-11-29 | Won |
984 | 1015 | 46% | 2022-09-19 | Won |
1030 | 969 | 59% | 2022-08-26 | Lost |
949 | 969 | 47% | 2022-06-08 | Won |
1032 | 969 | 59% | 2022-05-02 | Won |
1135 | 1055 | 61% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
1142 | 1142 | 50% | 2022-04-06 | Lost |
1030 | 1038 | 49% | 2022-03-07 | Lost |
1056 | 1056 | 50% | 2022-02-13 | Won |
984 | 1056 | 40% | 2022-02-03 | Lost |
1049 | 940 | 65% | 2022-01-17 | Won |
882 | 1055 | 27% | 2021-10-31 | Tied |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2021-10-21 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2021-10-07 | Won |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2021-10-07 | Lost |
1146 | 964 | 74% | 2021-06-22 | Lost |
1027 | 1027 | 50% | 2021-06-01 | Won |
940 | 926 | 52% | 2021-04-26 | Lost |
1113 | 1055 | 58% | 2021-03-08 | Won |
1047 | 993 | 58% | 2021-02-04 | Won |
1002 | 933 | 60% | 2021-01-31 | Lost |
1030 | 1027 | 50% | 2021-01-28 | Won |
1085 | 1087 | 50% | 2020-12-29 | Lost |
1087 | 1085 | 50% | 2020-12-29 | Won |
965 | 969 | 49% | 2020-08-12 | Won |
1186 | 1011 | 73% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
892 | 837 | 58% | 2020-06-26 | Lost |
963 | 1186 | 22% | 2020-06-18 | Won |
1249 | 963 | 84% | 2020-06-05 | Won |
1209 | 1202 | 51% | 2020-03-29 | Won |
1068 | 959 | 65% | 2020-03-20 | Won |
1186 | 1021 | 72% | 2020-03-17 | Won |
892 | 909 | 48% | 2019-12-12 | Lost |
1163 | 1058 | 65% | 2019-11-01 | Won |
969 | 982 | 48% | 2019-10-07 | Lost |
1050 | 959 | 63% | 2019-09-14 | Won |
969 | 982 | 48% | 2019-09-14 | Won |
984 | 997 | 48% | 2019-07-09 | Won |
1202 | 1209 | 49% | 2019-06-23 | Lost |
944 | 1152 | 23% | 2019-06-05 | Lost |
1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2018-11-22 | Won |
1082 | 1142 | 41% | 2018-08-28 | Lost |
973 | 973 | 50% | 2018-04-27 | Lost |
973 | 973 | 50% | 2018-04-27 | Lost |
1013 | 990 | 53% | 2017-12-01 | Lost |
875 | 883 | 49% | 2017-11-30 | Won |
994 | 1050 | 42% | 2017-09-22 | Won |
909 | 926 | 48% | 2017-07-09 | Lost |
1108 | 1026 | 62% | 2017-06-06 | Won |
1128 | 1189 | 41% | 2017-05-13 | Lost |
1101 | 1108 | 49% | 2017-04-29 | Lost |
1029 | 944 | 62% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
1015 | 984 | 54% | 2017-02-25 | Won |
1015 | 966 | 57% | 2017-02-24 | Lost |
1055 | 1002 | 58% | 2017-01-31 | Lost |
894 | 1110 | 22% | 2016-12-10 | Lost |
1055 | 882 | 73% | 2016-07-24 | Tied |
969 | 958 | 52% | 2016-03-29 | Lost |
1431 | 1178 | 81% | 2015-10-17 | Won |
1035 | 1027 | 51% | 2014-08-15 | Won |
1045 | 981 | 59% | 2014-01-16 | Lost |
1045 | 981 | 59% | 2014-01-16 | Lost |
1035 | 1025 | 51% | 2012-10-09 | Lost |
1209 | 1209 | 50% | 2012-08-19 | Lost |
974 | 1055 | 39% | 2012-07-23 | Lost |
1027 | 1030 | 50% | 2011-12-24 | Lost |
1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2011-09-04 | Lost |
1013 | 990 | 53% | 2010-05-26 | Lost |
985 | 1055 | 40% | 2010-01-27 | Lost |
1003 | 1012 | 49% | 2010-01-11 | Won |
936 | 936 | 50% | 2009-12-03 | Lost |
936 | 936 | 50% | 2009-11-28 | Lost |
1228 | 1135 | 63% | 2009-09-08 | Lost |
1125 | 1137 | 48% | 2009-08-22 | Won |
1125 | 1137 | 48% | 2009-08-22 | Won |
1027 | 1004 | 53% | 2009-02-15 | Lost |
1216 | 914 | 85% | 2009-01-11 | Lost |
1019 | 946 | 60% | 2008-02-21 | Won |
1158 | 1088 | 60% | 2008-02-10 | Lost |
1000 | 958 | 56% | 2006-12-09 | Won |
984 | 1093 | 35% | 2006-11-05 | Lost |
832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-03-18 | Won |
943 | 1010 | 40% | 2006-02-21 | Won |
1186 | 1037 | 70% | 2004-12-19 | Won |
1074 | 1086 | 48% | 2004-07-18 | Lost |
Attacking (45 wins) average ELOs: 1049.4 vs 1026.4 has a 53.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).