Under a Sky of Lead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (3 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 24
Defender wins (Free French): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1000 | 1030 | 46% | 2023-03-06 | Won |
1019 | 990 | 54% | 2004-03-16 | Won |
995 | 1043 | 43% | 1999-11-12 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1004.7 vs 1021 has a 47.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).