Cut the Road to Marseille
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (6 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 21
Defender wins (German): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1066 | 1011 | 58% | 2022-06-15 | Won |
| 1002 | 1061 | 42% | 2022-06-13 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1214 | 41% | 2022-06-05 | Won |
| 1009 | 1061 | 43% | 2022-06-05 | Won |
| 1013 | 1024 | 48% | 2019-01-26 | Won |
| 1223 | 847 | 90% | 2002-07-19 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1077.2 vs 1036.3 has a 55.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).