Cut the Road to Marseille
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (4 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 19
Defender wins (German): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1084 | 992 | 63% | 2022-06-15 | Won |
1002 | 1056 | 42% | 2022-06-13 | Lost |
1157 | 1179 | 47% | 2022-06-05 | Won |
1009 | 1068 | 42% | 2022-06-05 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1063 vs 1073.8 has a 48.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).