Devil's Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 169 (14 on the archive and 155 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 73
Defender wins (German): 96
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2022-11-07 | Lost |
1032 | 936 | 63% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
1058 | 1049 | 51% | 2019-02-01 | Won |
926 | 989 | 41% | 2018-03-30 | Won |
1089 | 1055 | 55% | 2017-11-26 | Lost |
1027 | 994 | 55% | 2016-06-13 | Lost |
847 | 868 | 47% | 2015-05-01 | Lost |
847 | 868 | 47% | 2015-04-14 | Lost |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2013-03-24 | Lost |
922 | 922 | 50% | 2012-02-21 | Won |
965 | 1030 | 41% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
959 | 1069 | 35% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
1114 | 1075 | 56% | 2001-01-26 | Won |
980 | 1075 | 37% | 2000-12-28 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 998.3 vs 1010 has a 48.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).