The Niscemi-Biscari Highway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (American ): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
906 | 851 | 58% | 2023-03-30 | Lost |
1055 | 900 | 71% | 2019-08-17 | Won |
1055 | 944 | 65% | 2019-03-03 | Lost |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2019-01-20 | Won |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
1283 | 981 | 85% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
1069 | 979 | 63% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
1109 | 873 | 80% | 2016-08-29 | Lost |
994 | 1027 | 45% | 2015-11-06 | Lost |
1015 | 1109 | 37% | 2014-10-18 | Won |
1002 | 872 | 68% | 2013-06-17 | Won |
1018 | 1097 | 39% | 2013-03-16 | Won |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2013-02-18 | Lost |
1029 | 1074 | 44% | 2008-12-08 | Lost |
1207 | 1030 | 73% | 2008-02-12 | Won |
1398 | 1006 | 91% | 2006-09-08 | Lost |
1307 | 1022 | 84% | 2006-08-31 | Tied |
1033 | 1097 | 41% | 2005-04-30 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2005-04-17 | Won |
1307 | 976 | 87% | 2005-04-10 | Lost |
912 | 1019 | 35% | 2001-10-28 | Lost |
1075 | 1093 | 47% | 1996-07-30 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1098 vs 1015.1 has a 61.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).