Aachen's Pall
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (American): 17
Defender wins (German): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
892 | 919 | 46% | 2022-01-17 | Won |
1138 | 1068 | 60% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
955 | 1110 | 29% | 2019-06-11 | Lost |
1110 | 955 | 71% | 2019-06-11 | Won |
964 | 962 | 50% | 2017-12-29 | Lost |
1058 | 1307 | 19% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
1249 | 1289 | 44% | 2016-07-28 | Won |
953 | 1000 | 43% | 2016-07-18 | Won |
1093 | 1040 | 58% | 2016-05-31 | Won |
1050 | 984 | 59% | 2016-05-17 | Won |
939 | 977 | 45% | 2015-10-09 | Won |
853 | 847 | 51% | 2015-04-04 | Won |
1123 | 1019 | 65% | 2014-08-03 | Lost |
1205 | 1037 | 72% | 2009-05-02 | Lost |
933 | 1028 | 37% | 2003-08-31 | Won |
1000 | 1102 | 36% | 2003-01-01 | Lost |
1097 | 980 | 66% | 2002-09-15 | Won |
1088 | 1068 | 53% | 2002-08-31 | Won |
1098 | 947 | 70% | 2000-04-30 | Won |
1008 | 1018 | 49% | 1998-10-23 | Won |
1018 | 1031 | 48% | 1998-10-23 | Won |
1138 | 945 | 75% | 1993-10-29 | Won |
1087 | 872 | 78% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1045.6 vs 1022 has a 53.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).