The Dead of Winter
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1068 | 1009 | 58% | 2022-10-27 | Won |
1211 | 779 | 92% | 2020-11-23 | Won |
1020 | 1144 | 33% | 2020-11-08 | Lost |
1012 | 1015 | 50% | 2020-11-05 | Lost |
1144 | 986 | 71% | 2020-11-05 | Lost |
948 | 1228 | 17% | 2020-11-04 | Won |
1041 | 1094 | 42% | 2016-11-02 | Lost |
1086 | 1074 | 52% | 2004-09-29 | Won |
1138 | 1089 | 57% | 1997-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1074.2 vs 1046.4 has a 53.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).