Gavin Take
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (American): 5
Defender wins (German): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1066 | 1073 | 49% | 2022-12-14 | Lost |
954 | 994 | 44% | 2022-07-13 | Lost |
984 | 984 | 50% | 2021-03-21 | Lost |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2020-06-20 | Won |
1094 | 1047 | 57% | 2015-02-03 | Lost |
1087 | 1189 | 36% | 2014-12-18 | Won |
953 | 1059 | 35% | 2013-09-14 | Won |
856 | 1075 | 22% | 1995-05-31 | Lost |
1138 | 1112 | 54% | 1994-05-28 | Won |
865 | 1069 | 24% | 1988-03-06 | Lost |
865 | 1069 | 24% | 1988-03-06 | Won |
994 | 1069 | 39% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 996.8 vs 1070.4 has a 39.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).