Alligator Creek
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 4
Attacker wins (Japanese): 3
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2020-10-01 | Won |
1037 | 986 | 57% | 2017-08-20 | Won |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2012-11-18 | Won |
932 | 1051 | 34% | 2004-02-14 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1018.5 vs 1070 has a 42.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).