Bone of Contention
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 10
Defender wins (Partisan (BCRA)): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
932 | 1051 | 34% | 2022-12-02 | Lost |
981 | 982 | 50% | 2022-10-13 | Won |
982 | 981 | 50% | 2022-10-05 | Lost |
873 | 1017 | 30% | 2018-07-25 | Lost |
1014 | 946 | 60% | 2017-03-17 | Won |
1094 | 1145 | 43% | 2017-03-07 | Lost |
1003 | 873 | 68% | 2016-08-14 | Won |
994 | 1027 | 45% | 2016-03-25 | Won |
1189 | 1036 | 71% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
1048 | 1131 | 38% | 2015-06-11 | Tied |
1073 | 943 | 68% | 2013-10-12 | Won |
1311 | 1013 | 85% | 2013-03-23 | Won |
1068 | 887 | 74% | 2013-01-27 | Lost |
980 | 1075 | 37% | 2007-04-08 | Lost |
862 | 1069 | 23% | 1998-10-01 | Won |
1117 | 952 | 72% | 1990-01-01 | Won |
1117 | 1012 | 65% | 1990-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1037.5 vs 1008.2 has a 54.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).