Rocket's Red Glare
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 429 (47 on the archive and 382 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 225
Defender wins (German (SS)): 204
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
851 | 1035 | 26% | 2024-02-21 | Lost |
1003 | 1039 | 45% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
982 | 981 | 50% | 2023-01-05 | Won |
1068 | 1039 | 54% | 2022-08-20 | Won |
1122 | 1188 | 41% | 2022-02-26 | Won |
1034 | 1035 | 50% | 2021-08-26 | Lost |
1014 | 1211 | 24% | 2021-01-08 | Lost |
1090 | 948 | 69% | 2020-07-04 | Won |
983 | 998 | 48% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
965 | 1090 | 33% | 2019-11-08 | Won |
1157 | 1055 | 64% | 2018-11-18 | Won |
1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2018-03-10 | Lost |
1097 | 1122 | 46% | 2018-02-17 | Won |
977 | 1138 | 28% | 2017-10-03 | Lost |
964 | 1059 | 37% | 2016-08-15 | Lost |
964 | 900 | 59% | 2016-07-24 | Lost |
1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2015-08-23 | Lost |
1035 | 942 | 63% | 2015-05-25 | Lost |
1109 | 1002 | 65% | 2014-06-07 | Won |
952 | 985 | 45% | 2013-11-12 | Won |
936 | 1138 | 24% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
887 | 955 | 40% | 2013-05-12 | Lost |
1207 | 953 | 81% | 2013-03-24 | Won |
948 | 931 | 52% | 2013-02-22 | Lost |
1097 | 960 | 69% | 2011-04-02 | Won |
967 | 1141 | 27% | 2011-04-02 | Won |
1157 | 1088 | 60% | 2009-09-14 | Lost |
1094 | 988 | 65% | 2009-03-30 | Lost |
1027 | 1037 | 49% | 2009-01-27 | Lost |
1040 | 1063 | 47% | 2008-08-10 | Lost |
1080 | 1141 | 41% | 2008-05-09 | Lost |
1091 | 984 | 65% | 2008-05-04 | Lost |
1149 | 880 | 82% | 2008-05-03 | Won |
968 | 1097 | 32% | 2008-04-05 | Lost |
1056 | 1019 | 55% | 2006-10-27 | Won |
1003 | 955 | 57% | 2006-01-28 | Won |
972 | 1003 | 46% | 2005-04-23 | Lost |
1074 | 1086 | 48% | 2005-01-21 | Won |
1228 | 1152 | 61% | 2004-04-27 | Won |
1019 | 912 | 65% | 2003-10-23 | Lost |
947 | 1097 | 30% | 2003-04-26 | Lost |
1045 | 1075 | 46% | 2001-01-27 | Won |
1010 | 1055 | 44% | 2000-11-26 | Lost |
1075 | 980 | 63% | 2000-07-29 | Won |
994 | 1074 | 39% | 1998-04-18 | Lost |
994 | 1074 | 39% | 1998-03-25 | Lost |
1075 | 1147 | 40% | 1995-10-11 | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1034.2 vs 1039.4 has a 49.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).