Rocket's Red Glare
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 426 (45 on the archive and 381 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 222
Defender wins (German (SS)): 204
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
858 | 1033 | 27% | 2024-02-21 | Lost |
1204 | 1048 | 71% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
949 | 949 | 50% | 2023-01-05 | Won |
1012 | 1038 | 46% | 2022-08-20 | Won |
1034 | 1036 | 50% | 2021-08-26 | Lost |
1027 | 1160 | 32% | 2021-01-08 | Lost |
918 | 961 | 44% | 2020-07-04 | Won |
983 | 998 | 48% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
965 | 1095 | 32% | 2019-11-08 | Won |
1157 | 1055 | 64% | 2018-11-18 | Won |
1012 | 969 | 56% | 2018-03-10 | Lost |
987 | 1087 | 36% | 2017-10-03 | Lost |
1013 | 1057 | 44% | 2016-08-15 | Lost |
1013 | 900 | 66% | 2016-07-24 | Lost |
1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2015-08-23 | Lost |
1036 | 942 | 63% | 2015-05-25 | Lost |
1109 | 1003 | 65% | 2014-06-07 | Won |
952 | 989 | 45% | 2013-11-12 | Won |
936 | 1087 | 30% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
887 | 955 | 40% | 2013-05-12 | Lost |
1207 | 976 | 79% | 2013-03-24 | Won |
948 | 931 | 52% | 2013-02-22 | Lost |
1097 | 917 | 74% | 2011-04-02 | Won |
967 | 1176 | 23% | 2011-04-02 | Won |
1157 | 1088 | 60% | 2009-09-14 | Lost |
1115 | 988 | 68% | 2009-03-30 | Lost |
1027 | 1037 | 49% | 2009-01-27 | Lost |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2008-08-10 | Lost |
1080 | 1176 | 37% | 2008-05-09 | Lost |
1091 | 984 | 65% | 2008-05-04 | Lost |
1149 | 879 | 83% | 2008-05-03 | Won |
968 | 1097 | 32% | 2008-04-05 | Lost |
1056 | 994 | 59% | 2006-10-27 | Won |
1010 | 955 | 58% | 2006-01-28 | Won |
972 | 1010 | 45% | 2005-04-23 | Lost |
1095 | 1086 | 51% | 2005-01-21 | Won |
1227 | 1152 | 61% | 2004-04-27 | Won |
994 | 912 | 62% | 2003-10-23 | Lost |
947 | 1097 | 30% | 2003-04-26 | Lost |
1045 | 1142 | 36% | 2001-01-27 | Won |
1010 | 1055 | 44% | 2000-11-26 | Lost |
1142 | 980 | 72% | 2000-07-29 | Won |
992 | 1062 | 40% | 1998-04-18 | Lost |
992 | 1062 | 40% | 1998-03-25 | Lost |
1142 | 1175 | 45% | 1995-10-11 | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1037.3 vs 1031.6 has a 50.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).