Timoshenko's Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89 (19 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 49
Defender wins (German): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1023 | 47% | 2026-07-12 | | Won |
| 1135 | 1000 | 69% | 2026-05-05 | | Tied |
| 1132 | 991 | 69% | 2024-11-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2024-07-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2022-02-21 | | Won |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2020-11-15 | | Won |
| 1218 | 919 | 85% | 2020-02-25 | | Lost |
| 944 | 992 | 43% | 2020-01-09 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2016-01-09 | | Won |
| 1099 | 1120 | 47% | 2013-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1099 | 1120 | 47% | 2013-10-10 | | Lost |
| 951 | 891 | 59% | 2013-04-09 | | Won |
| 951 | 862 | 63% | 2013-04-09 | | Won |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2007-06-04 | | Lost |
| 988 | 1036 | 43% | 2005-07-30 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1015 | 76% | 2004-10-30 | | Lost |
| 1023 | 1000 | 53% | 2001-03-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1097 | 36% | 1993-07-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 1988-01-01 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1057.2 vs 1014.8 has a 56.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).