The Road to Wiltz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (American): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 948 | 959 | 48% | 2022-05-05 | Lost |
| 854 | 1140 | 16% | 2021-02-24 | Won |
| 854 | 1140 | 16% | 2021-02-23 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2015-10-25 | Lost |
| 1081 | 829 | 81% | 2006-05-14 | Won |
| 844 | 1055 | 23% | 2003-09-21 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1043 | 50% | 2002-03-10 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 959.3 vs 1036.3 has a 39.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).