The Road to Wiltz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (5 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (American): 44
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1204 | 1007 | 76% | 2022-05-05 | Lost |
882 | 1093 | 23% | 2021-02-24 | Won |
882 | 1093 | 23% | 2021-02-23 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2015-10-25 | Lost |
1083 | 831 | 81% | 2006-05-14 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1036.4 vs 1031 has a 50.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).