Brief Breakfast
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (12 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 28
Defender wins (American): 32
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1204 | 1009 | 75% | 2022-11-04 | Won |
1133 | 986 | 70% | 2017-02-10 | Won |
1133 | 986 | 70% | 2017-02-10 | Won |
1133 | 986 | 70% | 2017-02-10 | Won |
1133 | 986 | 70% | 2017-02-10 | Won |
1011 | 1003 | 51% | 2016-12-10 | Lost |
954 | 1151 | 24% | 2015-12-06 | Won |
992 | 988 | 51% | 2014-10-05 | Lost |
991 | 1160 | 27% | 2013-11-23 | Lost |
989 | 876 | 66% | 2011-05-06 | Lost |
1024 | 1063 | 44% | 2008-12-01 | Lost |
1097 | 925 | 73% | 2004-11-10 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1066.2 vs 1009.9 has a 58.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).