Monty's Mess
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (16 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 42
Defender wins (British): 38
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1055 | 1154 | 36% | 2021-10-24 | Won |
1102 | 1069 | 55% | 2019-10-20 | Lost |
1109 | 1276 | 28% | 2019-08-16 | Won |
1307 | 917 | 90% | 2018-09-07 | Won |
1035 | 949 | 62% | 2018-09-05 | Lost |
964 | 1100 | 31% | 2017-05-10 | Won |
985 | 1029 | 44% | 2016-06-28 | Lost |
985 | 1025 | 44% | 2016-02-15 | Won |
1030 | 1100 | 40% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
1069 | 1021 | 57% | 2014-11-08 | Won |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2013-03-17 | Lost |
963 | 997 | 45% | 2011-08-17 | Tied |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2005-06-30 | Won |
1075 | 959 | 66% | 2003-07-29 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2003-06-16 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2003-06-16 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1067.2 vs 1062 has a 50.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).