Thrust and Parry
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (9 on the archive and 76 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 31
Defender wins (American): 54
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2026-07-19 | | Lost |
| 755 | 1009 | 19% | 2016-11-12 | | Lost |
| 1195 | 841 | 88% | 2014-02-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2006-04-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2001-02-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2001-02-07 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2001-01-19 | | Lost |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2000-10-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1140 | 31% | 2000-06-22 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 974.4 vs 1053.2 has a 38.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).