The Puma Prowls
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 478 (85 on the archive and 393 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 225
Defender wins (German): 251
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|---|---|---|---|
970 | 970 | 50% | 2024-07-16 | Won |
1019 | 1019 | 50% | 2024-01-31 | Won |
1019 | 1019 | 50% | 2024-01-20 | Lost |
1019 | 1019 | 50% | 2024-01-20 | Won |
1069 | 1193 | 33% | 2024-01-13 | Won |
1193 | 1069 | 67% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
954 | 1015 | 41% | 2024-01-09 | Lost |
1114 | 1114 | 50% | 2023-10-30 | Won |
851 | 873 | 47% | 2023-01-22 | Lost |
964 | 1027 | 41% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
990 | 1068 | 39% | 2022-10-14 | Won |
927 | 912 | 52% | 2022-06-16 | Won |
1006 | 1006 | 50% | 2021-11-10 | Lost |
1159 | 1005 | 71% | 2021-10-04 | Won |
964 | 964 | 50% | 2021-06-12 | Lost |
919 | 1080 | 28% | 2021-01-03 | Won |
1052 | 1060 | 49% | 2020-12-17 | Won |
982 | 981 | 50% | 2020-11-26 | Lost |
1035 | 1119 | 38% | 2020-08-30 | Lost |
980 | 924 | 58% | 2020-05-10 | Won |
924 | 964 | 44% | 2020-04-23 | Lost |
992 | 1023 | 46% | 2020-02-18 | Won |
919 | 892 | 54% | 2020-02-13 | Lost |
1114 | 1090 | 53% | 2020-01-23 | Lost |
1090 | 1114 | 47% | 2020-01-23 | Won |
969 | 969 | 50% | 2019-12-07 | Lost |
1109 | 1037 | 60% | 2019-07-13 | Won |
1108 | 1101 | 51% | 2019-01-20 | Won |
1102 | 1208 | 35% | 2018-12-14 | Lost |
1101 | 1108 | 49% | 2018-12-09 | Lost |
1157 | 1037 | 67% | 2018-12-08 | Won |
924 | 1032 | 35% | 2018-07-21 | Won |
1000 | 1041 | 44% | 2018-02-24 | Lost |
954 | 882 | 60% | 2017-11-04 | Lost |
963 | 979 | 48% | 2017-10-20 | Lost |
1020 | 964 | 58% | 2017-02-19 | Lost |
1144 | 856 | 84% | 2017-02-12 | Won |
1003 | 926 | 61% | 2016-12-31 | Won |
1180 | 1027 | 71% | 2016-12-22 | Lost |
1003 | 972 | 54% | 2016-08-21 | Lost |
1026 | 979 | 57% | 2016-08-11 | Lost |
966 | 1109 | 31% | 2016-06-09 | Won |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2016-03-06 | Lost |
1027 | 994 | 55% | 2016-01-17 | Won |
1011 | 931 | 61% | 2015-09-20 | Lost |
1100 | 1090 | 51% | 2015-05-05 | Lost |
1109 | 1015 | 63% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
1006 | 1018 | 48% | 2014-11-02 | Won |
1155 | 1158 | 50% | 2014-10-14 | Tied |
847 | 868 | 47% | 2014-09-01 | Won |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2014-03-30 | Won |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2014-03-29 | Lost |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2014-03-28 | Won |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2014-03-27 | Won |
1035 | 1019 | 52% | 2013-04-04 | Lost |
1019 | 1035 | 48% | 2013-03-16 | Won |
1137 | 1137 | 50% | 2012-09-08 | Won |
984 | 1091 | 35% | 2012-06-23 | Lost |
1141 | 1089 | 57% | 2011-09-25 | Won |
914 | 987 | 40% | 2011-01-07 | Lost |
982 | 937 | 56% | 2010-10-06 | Lost |
1097 | 869 | 79% | 2010-09-11 | Lost |
1048 | 1062 | 48% | 2010-07-29 | Won |
1093 | 1125 | 45% | 2010-05-02 | Lost |
1019 | 851 | 72% | 2010-03-18 | Won |
952 | 958 | 49% | 2009-08-09 | Lost |
1121 | 1307 | 26% | 2009-06-13 | Lost |
865 | 1022 | 29% | 2009-02-28 | Lost |
1141 | 1080 | 59% | 2008-11-22 | Won |
1141 | 957 | 74% | 2008-11-21 | Lost |
889 | 1157 | 18% | 2008-02-21 | Won |
902 | 1010 | 35% | 2008-01-13 | Lost |
1066 | 1046 | 53% | 2006-11-30 | Won |
1046 | 1066 | 47% | 2006-11-30 | Won |
1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2006-11-20 | Won |
862 | 931 | 40% | 2006-09-02 | Won |
1037 | 1186 | 30% | 2006-08-03 | Won |
1076 | 916 | 72% | 2006-07-21 | Won |
1186 | 1037 | 70% | 2006-06-21 | Lost |
1066 | 1046 | 53% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
938 | 1073 | 31% | 2003-09-12 | Lost |
938 | 1118 | 26% | 2003-08-17 | Lost |
994 | 919 | 61% | 2001-03-22 | Lost |
1002 | 994 | 51% | 1998-06-18 | Won |
870 | 1069 | 24% | 1997-06-06 | Won |
Attacking (43 wins) average ELOs: 1026.9 vs 1028.6 has a 49.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).