Escape from Velikiye Luki
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1149 | 1075 | 60% | 2023-03-06 | Lost |
1060 | 1052 | 51% | 2022-02-16 | Lost |
981 | 982 | 50% | 2021-01-02 | Lost |
1003 | 1003 | 50% | 2020-12-31 | Won |
1009 | 1109 | 36% | 2019-06-10 | Won |
1055 | 1100 | 44% | 2019-01-18 | Lost |
1100 | 1055 | 56% | 2019-01-11 | Won |
954 | 1003 | 43% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
979 | 963 | 52% | 2017-10-21 | Won |
873 | 1109 | 20% | 2016-10-12 | Won |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
994 | 1027 | 45% | 2015-05-09 | Won |
1311 | 1003 | 85% | 2015-04-12 | Won |
1051 | 1138 | 38% | 2014-08-25 | Won |
886 | 943 | 42% | 2014-03-30 | Won |
1014 | 1067 | 42% | 2014-02-07 | Lost |
1032 | 1051 | 47% | 2013-09-17 | Lost |
887 | 952 | 41% | 2013-09-09 | Won |
887 | 968 | 39% | 2013-09-02 | Won |
994 | 1068 | 40% | 2012-10-06 | Won |
963 | 1155 | 25% | 2012-05-11 | Won |
1090 | 1117 | 46% | 2011-12-22 | Won |
946 | 1115 | 27% | 2011-04-19 | Lost |
1000 | 871 | 68% | 2009-04-30 | Lost |
1025 | 991 | 55% | 2006-11-01 | Won |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1008.3 vs 1023.8 has a 47.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).