The Tractor Works
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 179 (50 on the archive and 129 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 104
Defender wins (Russian): 71
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 979 | 1000 | 47% | 2024-06-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 990 | 51% | 2023-11-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2023-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2023-09-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1127 | 32% | 2022-12-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 974 | 54% | 2022-05-22 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2022-01-06 | | Lost |
| 1097 | 1000 | 64% | 2021-12-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 971 | 54% | 2021-05-20 | | Won |
| 1033 | 919 | 66% | 2021-03-16 | | Lost |
| 977 | 992 | 48% | 2020-11-10 | | Won |
| 977 | 992 | 48% | 2020-11-10 | | Won |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2020-04-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2019-10-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1017 | 48% | 2019-02-03 | | Lost |
| 966 | 964 | 50% | 2018-03-23 | | Won |
| 943 | 965 | 47% | 2018-03-23 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2018-02-01 | | Tied |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2017-12-09 | | Lost |
| 1266 | 1132 | 68% | 2017-09-22 | | Won |
| 1001 | 1132 | 32% | 2017-09-16 | | Lost |
| 966 | 956 | 51% | 2017-07-07 | | Won |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2017-03-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 986 | 52% | 2016-10-24 | | Lost |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2015-10-15 | | Lost |
| 1097 | 935 | 72% | 2015-08-07 | | Won |
| 944 | 1074 | 32% | 2015-06-18 | | Lost |
| 962 | 1000 | 45% | 2015-03-28 | | Won |
| 1075 | 964 | 65% | 2015-03-01 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 1266 | 32% | 2013-08-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1097 | 36% | 2013-07-09 | | Lost |
| 1097 | 1000 | 64% | 2013-07-08 | | Lost |
| 1024 | 1000 | 53% | 2012-11-23 | | Won |
| 1071 | 1000 | 60% | 2012-09-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1132 | 32% | 2011-07-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 963 | 55% | 2010-11-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2010-10-02 | | Lost |
| 1001 | 1000 | 50% | 2010-03-12 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2010-03-11 | | Won |
| 915 | 1000 | 38% | 2010-01-07 | | Tied |
| 1152 | 1087 | 59% | 2009-09-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1045 | 44% | 2009-05-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 896 | 65% | 2008-12-23 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2008-09-06 | | Lost |
| 905 | 1000 | 37% | 2007-10-12 | | Lost |
| 832 | 1000 | 28% | 2006-03-26 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2005-09-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2005-01-01 | | Lost |
| 862 | 908 | 43% | 2004-09-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1001 | 50% | 1992-01-01 | | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1021.4 vs 1019.3 has a 50.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).